2,686 closed sales in 2019 compared with 2,617 closed sales in 2018, a 2.64% increase from one year ago. The 2,686 closed sales through the first nine months of 2019 is the third best total for that time period in the past ten years as reported by the Amarillo Association of Realtors’ Multiple Listing Service (MLS).
Single-Family Home Prices
Average single-family home prices were up 0.33% to $194,949. Median single-family home prices were up 3.60% to $169,900. The discrepancy between average and median sales prices illustrates the point that a smaller percentage of the upper end market sold during the first nine months of 2019 as compared with the same time period in 2018.
Days on Market
The MLS is now calculating Days on Market on a cumulative basis. In other words, if a property has been listed multiple times, (i.e., three 90-day listings), before selling, the cumulative days on market is being reported as opposed to days on market occurring in the final listing period. This greatly improves the accuracy of the data being reported. During the first nine months of 2019 the average days on market was 117 and the median days on market was 78.
Sales Price to List Price Ratio
The sales price to list price ratio was flat at 97.14% of listed prices compared to 97.22% a year ago. This metric along with Months of Inventory illustrates the overall bias of the market being in favor of Sellers today.
Months of Inventory
One of the most telling market metrics is total months of inventory which takes into consideration the current listing inventory and first nine months of sales activity. Texas A&M’s Real Estate Center’s definition of a buyer-seller balanced market is 6.5 months of available inventory. Overall, the total months of inventory as of September 30, 2019 is 3.61 months, but that doesn’t tell the full story. For homes priced under $250,000, the total months of inventory stands at 2.52 months. For homes priced between $250,000 and $500,000, the total months of inventory stands at 6.89 months. For homes priced over $500,000, the total months of inventory stands at 36 months.
There were 1,076 active single-family listings in the (MLS) as of September 30, 2019; down 158 listings from one year ago; or a (-12.80%) decrease from one year ago.
324 new single-family homes were permitted during the first nine months of 2019 compared with 436 in 2018, a decrease of (-25.69%). There appear to be several factors limiting new home construction permit activity: (1) availability of subcontractors and labor, (2) builders staying away from speculative home construction over $400,000 inside the Amarillo city limits, and (3) overall increased construction activity outside the Amarillo city limits.
Foreclosure activity is another indicator of the overall health of the local economy in general as well as the housing market, specifically. Residential properties posted for foreclosure were down (-9.16%) in the first nine months of 2019 to 357 postings. Actual foreclosures were down (-13.81%) in the first nine months of 2019 to 156 foreclosures. YTD 2019 foreclosures are 31.58%% below the five-year moving average.
Unemployment and Job Creation
The Amarillo MSA unemployment rate stood at 2.70% according to the August report from the Texas Workforce Commission. That same report shows that 1,000 more people were employed than one year ago.
Conventional 30-year mortgage loan interest rates as of September 30, 2019 were 3.875%, down 1.125% from where rates stood a year ago.
Amarillo Association of Realtors’ Multiple Listing Service
Texas A&M Real Estate Center
City of Amarillo Building Safety Department
Texas Workforce Commission
Amarillo Foreclosure Report
*CB First Equity, Realtors has reported on the Amarillo Area housing market since 1977. Those reports have been based on reported sales/listings provided by the Amarillo Association of Realtors’ Multiple Listing Service (MLS). The MLS has grown, territorially, over the years and technological advances have made it easier for data to be processed from virtually every corner of the Texas panhandle. We have always focused on the immediate Amarillo area, including Canyon, Claude, Bushland, and Panhandle. However, as the MLS has grown, it has become more difficult to filter out data from outside the immediate Amarillo, resulting in minor distortions in our reports.
Data now considered is specific to five counties that comprise the *Amarillo Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA). Armstrong, Carson, Oldham, Potter, and Randall counties. This mirrors current reporting at the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University.